The best way to ride out of the Greek elections is not to short stocks, but to
sell German bunds and buy Treasury bonds, says Charles Comiskey, head of
Treasury trading at Bank of Nova Scotia. He argues that bunds would be losers as
Germany might need to channel more money to safeguard the monetary union, and
the rising fiscal burden is what has fueled worry that bunds could lose their
safe-haven status. That concern was underlined after Pimco's Bill Gross
indicated on Tuesday he dislikes bunds. A comfort, though: The 10-yr bund
auction Wednesday didn't show investors fled in droves. The underperformance of
bunds vs Treasurys has narrowed the yield gap sharply. Recently, the benchmark
10-yr Treasury note trades about 15bps above that of 10-yr bund, down from 37bps
just a week ago and a recent peak of 50bps in April.
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