Forex Technical Analysis : Live Forex Chart

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Wednesday, 5 December 2012

ISM Services Gauge in U.S

The Institute for Supply Management’s index of U.S. non-manufacturing businesses, which covers about 90 percent of the economy, rose to 54.7 in November from the prior month’s 54.2, the Tempe, Arizona-based group said today. ISM! Readings above 50 signal expansion, and estimates ranged from 51 to 54.7. The ISM services survey covers industries ranging from utilities and retailing to housing, health care and finance.

Monday, 3 December 2012

Daily Morning Report 04/12/2012 | Forex Trading Analysis

The Australian Dollar rallied versus the U.S. Dollar as the Reserve Bank of Australia cut the benchmark lending rate by 25 basis points to 3.00 percent which was in-line with market expectations of a 90 percent probability that the RBA would cut the cost of capital today.

Forex Bulletproof 2.0 Patented Striker Technology! The global PMI release period was off to a good start, with outperformance in Asia and mostly floundering in Europe. US failed to hold its own, with its equivalent to the PMI, the ISM Manufacturing index, falling back into contraction, to its lowest official reading of the year. Just when US economic data was turning higher, it now appears to be backpedalling.

Greece offered to buy back as much as 10-billion Euros of bonds issued in a restructuring earlier this year, as an attempt to cut its debt load. The government said they will buy back bonds in a so called Dutch auction, and the government is willing to pay an average maximum purchase price of 34.1% for bonds maturing from 2023 to 2042.

ECB and BoE are widely expected to maintain their current policy Forex Bulletproof 2.0 Patented Striker Technology! in December, we anticipate the Governing Council to strike a more dovish tone for monetary policy as the deepening recession in the euro-area threatens price stability. ECB President Mario Draghi may show a greater willingness to ease monetary policy further. BoE appears to be slowly moving away from its easing cycle as inflation stubbornly holds above the 2% target.

Thursday, 29 November 2012

Daily Afternoon Report 29/11/2012 | Forex Trading Analysis

The U.S. dollar was broadly lower against the other major currencies on Thursday, as hopes for headway in tackling the U.S. fiscal cliff dampened safe haven demand for the greenback ahead of U.S. data on third quarter growth later in the session.

Meanwhile, the euro hit fresh session highs against the U.S. Click Here! dollar on Thursday, after official data showed that the U.S. economy grew at a faster rate than initially estimated during the third quarter of 2012, as export figures were revised up.

As the Commerce Department said, gross domestic product expanded by 2.7% in the three months to September, up from a preliminary estimate of 2.0%, but below expectations for growth of 2.8%.

Separately, the U.S. Department of Labor said the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits last week fell 393,000 from 416,000 the previous week, slightly less than expectations for a decline to 390,000.

Elsewhere Europe, Italy saw borrowing costs fall sharply at an auction of five and 10-year government bonds on Thursday, with the yield on 10-year bonds down to 4.45%, a two year low and the yield on five-year bonds falling to 3.23%, also a two-year low.

In addition to that, official data showed that the German unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.9% in November as the number of unemployed people rose by 5,000, better than expectations for an increase of 15,000.

In other news, the Bank of England warned earlier that U.K. banks may not have enough capital put aside to insulate them from future financial market shocks.

Finally, the yen remained under pressure amid expectations that upcoming elections on December 16 will result in growing political pressure on the Bank of Japan to implement more aggressive monetary easing measures.

Later Thursday, German Bundesbank President is due to speak at the Christian Democratic Union Economics Council in Berlin.

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Wednesday, 28 November 2012

Daily Afternoon Report 28/11/2012 | Forex Trading Analysis

Greece bailout agreement, most of the responding chatter has already been exhausted, and we have been left in today’s European session without a major fundamental story to guide trading. Data showing U.S. consumer confidence at a four-year high also provided a modest boost for the dollar, though a looming budget crisis tempered optimism about the American economy and kept dollar gains in check.

The agreement to provide aid for Greece did not help the market sentiment. In fact, that agreement may fail as the International Monetary Fund did not accept its terms. The inability of the US politicians to find a compromise and avoid the fiscal cliff did not help traders’ confidence either.

The Australian dollar fell against the Japanese yen and the US dollar yesterday and remained soft today. Like its Canadian counterpart, the Aussie managed to strengthen versus the euro.

Thursday, 25 October 2012

Daily Afternoon Report 25/10/2012

Earlier Thursday, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.5%, marking Governor Graeme Wheeler's first decision as head of the central bank, after replacing Alan Bollard in late September.

The preliminary release of the UK Q3 GDP came in much stronger than expected causing EUR/GBP to plunge, while GBP/USD rose.

The euro extended its correction versus the dollar after the jobless claims drop as well as the durable goods orders rise to more than expected levels.

Elsewhere, the yen remained broadly weaker amid mounting speculation over the possibility of more easing by the BoJ at its upcoming policy meeting on October 30.

Wednesday, 24 October 2012

Daily Afternoon Report 24/10/2012

The U.S. dollar was higher against the euro on Wednesday, as weak data out of the euro zone fuelled concerns over the deepening impact of the sovereign debt crisis on the region’s economy, but morning losses were erased later in the afternoon.

Meanwhile, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi is currently at a meeting in Germany’s central bank, which is to be followed by a press conference.

Later Wednesday, the Federal Reserve is to announce its benchmark interest rate and release its first monetary policy statement since the central bank announced a third round of quantitative easing in September. The U.S. was to release official data on new home sales.

Elsewhere, the Sterling found support after Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said Tuesday that policymakers would have to think "long and hard" before implementing further quantitative easing measures.