Wednesday, 14 November 2012

Daily Afternoon Report 14/11/2012 | Forex Trading Analysis

The U.S. dollar rallied against the broadly weaker yen on Wednesday, but turned lower against the euro, as speculation that aid payments for Greece could be bundled into one large lump sum supported the single currency.
The euro remained supported after German newspaper Bild reported Tuesday that Greece could receive three bailout installments in one single payment of EUR44 billion, citing German government sources.
The euro hit session highs against the greenback earlier after Italy saw borrowing costs fall to the lowest level since October 2010 at an auction of three-year government bonds. In addition to that, the Italian 10-year government bonds advanced for a second day as borrowing costs fell as the nation sold 5 billion euros ($6.4 billion) of debt. Italy auctioned 3.5 billion euros of notes due in 2015 and a total of 1.5 billion euros of 2023 and 2029 bonds, the latter being the longest maturity the nation has sold this year.

But concerns that the economic outlook for the euro zone is worsening were underlined after official data showed that industrial production in the bloc tumbled 2.5% in September, compared to expectations for a 1.9% decline.
Meanwhile, the Bank of England’s quarterly inflation report said that it will take until the third quarter of 2014 before inflation will fall below the bank’s 2% target, nine months longer than the bank forecast in August and added that growth looked likely to remain sluggish.
As the Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said, the U.K. economy may shrink in the current quarter and its recovery will be subdued, prompting officials to keep open the option of further asset purchases to aid growth.

Earlier Wednesday, official data showed that the number of people in the U.K. claiming unemployment benefits rose by 10,100 in October, the largest increase since September 2011, but the unemployment rate ticked down to 7.8% from 7.9% in September.
In the U.S., retail sales fell in October for the first time in four months, influenced by the effects of superstorm Sandy, which hurt receipts for some and helped for others. The 0.3 percent drop followed a 1.3 percent increase in September that was larger than previously reported, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington.
Furthermore, wholesale prices in the U.S. unexpectedly fell in October for the first time in five months as energy and vehicle costs dropped. The 0.2 percent decline in the producer price index came after a 1.1 percent increase the prior month, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington.
Later Wednesday, the Federal Reserve is to publish the minutes of its most recent policy-setting meeting.

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