Thursday, 22 November 2012

Daily Morning Report 23/11/2012 | Forex Trading Analysis

EU leaders just finished first round of negotiations to agree on a budget for next year, still with not a final decision over it, as Germany PM Angela Merkel has said at the end of the meetings, a few hours ago: "I believe that the positions are quite far apart, in certain respects," Merkel told journalists, as Reuters reported earlier.
The Euro traded lower against the British Pound on Friday. Meanwhile, the Euro was up against the U.S. Dollar and down against the Japanese Yen.
The Asian market session was a very quiet one to end the week, since USD traded modestly lower.
Later Friday, Destatis is expected to release the quarterly German GDP report, while the Ifo Institute for Economic Research is expected to release the monthly German Ifo Business Climate report.
The EU Economic Summit is on its 2nd day as the Heads of state are due to meet in Brussels about Spain, Greece, and plan for deeper economic and monetary integration.
Elsewhere, the Statistics Canada is expected to release its monthly Consumer Price Index data.

Daily Afternoon Report 22/11/2012

  The euro was trading close to a three-week high against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, as improved manufacturing data from China and the euro zone and hopes for a deal on an aid payment for Greece supported demand for the single currency.
  After the data of German Flash Manufacturing PMI were released the single currency found support. Germany’s manufacturing purchasing managers’ index rose to 46.8 in November, up from 46.0 in October and better than forecasts for a reading of 45.9. Germany’s services PMI came in at 48.0, below expectations for a reading of 48.5. The euro zone’s manufacturing PMI rose to 46.2 this month from 45.4 in October, above expectations for a reading of 45.6. The euro zone’s services PMI declined to 45.7, from 46.0 in October, compared to expectations for a reading of 46.1.

  The euro was also supported after German Chancellor Angela Merkel said an agreement to unlock a delayed bailout installment for Greece was still possible when euro zone finance ministers resume talks on Monday. Today Spain successful auctioned EUR3.38 billion of three and five-year bonds at lower yields than previously, easing pressure on Madrid to seek a bailout.
The data came after a report earlier showed that China’s preliminary HSBC manufacturing PMI rose to 50.4 in November, up from a final reading of 49.5 in October. The data eased concerns over a slowdown in the world’s largest economy.
  Trade volumes are expected to remain low on Thursday, with US markets closed for the Thanksgiving holiday.

Daily Morning Report 22/11/2012 | Forex Trading

In latest news, the China HSBC Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index hit 50.4 for November, a 13-month high and up from a final October reading of 49.5. As a result, the dollar was sent dipping as investors sold the unit to invest in stocks and higher-yielding asset classes. Renewed hopes that Greece will soon tap bailout funds sent the U.S. Dollar falling as well.

In Brussels, Eurozone finance ministers and representatives from the International Monetary Fund failed to agree to disburse aid to Greece earlier this week. European governments support giving Greece a two-year extension to trim the country's debt burdens to 120% of GDP, though the IMF did not agree.

Meanwhile, the IMF opposed the two-year extension and says policymakers should stick with plans for Greece to bring debt burdens down to 120% by 2020 — and not 2022 — but has said European countries should take a hit on Greek loans, which has run into opposition in Europe.

Still, the euro gained on hopes that all sides will strike a deal at a follow-up meeting on Monday and free EUR31.5 billion earmarked for the crisis-ridden country.
Later Thursday, European Union leaders will hold the first day of a two-day summit in Brussels to discuss the debt crisis and plans for greater fiscal and monetary integration across the region, while, the Eurozone is to release preliminary data on manufacturing and service-sector activity, leading indicators of economic strength. Germany and France are also to release individual reports.
U.S. markets will be closed on Thursday for the Thanksgiving holidays.
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