The weekend polls in Greece have shown the pro-bailout parties gaining ground, with two showing that they could receive enough of the votes to form a viable coalition. This has given the euro a modest lift in Asia trade, allowing a break above the 1.26 level, up from the 1.2496 year low carved out last week. Still, it's another three weeks until we will have the election results, so the road ahead remains fairly daunting for the single currency. We also have the Irish referendum on Thursday of this week on the European Fiscal Treaty. Meanwhile, as the Spanish government moves to inject fresh capital into Bankia, there are also moves to greatly enhance the deposit guarantee scheme protection offered to savers in European banks. These modestly encouraging developments, together with the fact that last week was the worst of the year for the single currency, increase the risk of some short-covering rallies this week, but there can be little arguing that underlying sentiment remains decidedly fragile.